Bundesliga Betting Guide for Matchday 34 – numberFire

The Bundesliga closes out its campaign with a full nine-match slate on Saturday. It’ll be imperative to check starting lineups as several teams have little to play for, which could result in some wonky starting XIs across the league.

FanDuel Sportsbook has odds for each of the games, so let’s look at a few of the best bets.

Hoffenheim at Dortmund

Dortmund to win (-135)

Dortmund are clearly the better side here — by a good distance, too. They have 20 more points than Hoffenheim and are 51 goals better by goal differential. And this match is at Dortmund, though home-field advantage hasn’t mattered much without fans.

So why are Dortmund just -135 to win? Well, my guess is it has to do with Hoffenheim having a lot to play for in their battle for a Europa League spot while Dortmund have zilch to play for, which could result in BVB rotating their squad or just generally not being as motivated as Hoffenheim are. That’s valid. But I still think there’s betting value on the Dortmund side, and the probable BVB lineup is a strong one, with both Jadon Sancho and Erling Haaland in it.

I think oddsmakers are putting too much stock into the motivation levels of each side, opening up value on Dortmund, who should roll here unless they put out a second-string team.

Augsburg at RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig to win (-250)

This is another case of a better side not being a big enough favorite. RB Leipzig are 60 goals