Saturday’s Bundesliga slate could have some gigantic ramifications on the title race.
Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund are both in action and Bayer Leverkusen will take on Borussia Monchengladbach in what is essentially an elimination game in the hunt for glory.
By the time the dust settles after Saturday’s matches we could have Bayern Munich as runaway winners or we could have a renewed chase for the Meisterschale.
Here are our favorite bets for Saturday’s five-game slate:
Borussia Dortmund vs. Wolfsburg
9:30 a.m. ET, FS1
Coming off a stoppage-time winner at Augsburg last week, Wolfsburg heads home to take on second-place Borussia Dortmund. Dortmund comes into the match flying high after blitzing rival Schalke, 4-0, at Signal Iduna Park.
Wolfsburg is currently sitting in a Europa league spot (6th place) two points ahead of Freiburg. Dortmund is currently four points behind Bayern Munich and desperately needs every point possible to challenge the German giants for the title.
Dortmund has been an interesting case so far this season as they’ve vastly overachieved offensively this year, which sound crazy to say. Dortmund has scored 72 goals this season, but their expected goal total for the season is 51.03, meaning they’ve scored a lot of goals they shouldn’t have. Additionally, on the road this season Dortmund has only accumulated an expected goal differential of +2.86.
Wolfsburg is unbeaten in their last seven matches and in that span Die Wölfe has accumulated a +3.2 expected goal differential, which is good for a primarily defensive team.
Wolfsburg has been the best defensive